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Shipping safety management using probabilistic safety assessment methods with a particular focus on the FSA method

Abstract: Maritime safety management in shipping is based on numerous regulations, conventions, and legal provisions. Issues concerning the protection of human life at sea and the protection of the marine environment are regulated by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Issues related to ship construction and equipment are under the jurisdiction of Classification Societies. All issued regulations have undergone changes over the years, being improved in line with scientific and technical progress. Regardless of the changes introduced, however, the primary goal is to ensure the highest possible degree of maritime safety in shipping. At the beginning of the 1990s, the possibility emerged to examine the consequences of accidents before they even occur. An effective method for preventing accidents, or at least mitigating their consequences, was created. This possibility was provided by the Formal Safety Assessment (FSA). A proactive, entirely new method. Unfortunately, it is not yet a widely used tool. 1. SAFETY MANAGEMENT PHILOSOPHY Regarding safety management, there are two basic approaches: • prescriptive (also called deterministic); • goal-based (also called analytical), formulated, for example, in the form of acceptable risk levels (then it is called probabilistic). The goal-based approach, supported by risk assessments, is not universally recognized. In practice, it requires analyzing the behavior of risk sources in all possible aspects of their occurrence and the possibility of generating emergency scenarios with undesirable consequences for humans, the environment, and installations (…)

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Source: Logistyka Magazine


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