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Forecasts for the development of civil aviation

Passenger sector
The demand for aircraft engines is inherently linked to the demand for aircraft and helicopters. However, there is no proportional relationship between them. Delivering 18,740 new aircraft and helicopters over the next dozen or so years will require 48,100 engines of various types, including engines needed as replacements for currently operating aircraft.

Of the entire aircraft engine market, the vast majority consists of the largest engines. Forecasts for other engine groups also look positive, but the demand for engines in the highest power sector will grow most dynamically. Their market share will increase from a total of 7% in previous years to 41% in the coming years. It is also difficult to speak of a segmentation of demand for specific engine types across world regions, even when taking into account engine size or the number of orders. Based on very superficial generalizations, it can be said that: Asia and the Pacific countries are interested in the largest engines available on the market, in North America and Latin America, low-power engines play a dominant role, while in Europe, the groups of engines used are more diverse, and it is difficult to speak of the dominance of one or a few over the others. Thus, most airlines have focused on a group of key functions, and therefore they require support from aircraft engine manufacturers. Manufacturers commit to providing a package of engine maintenance support services along with the engine. Among engine manufacturers (as among airlines), there has been a division not so much by region, but by specialized areas of cooperation, such as: engine technical maintenance, IT support, and financial services. Airlines, aircraft manufacturers, and engine suppliers alike are paying increasing attention to the impact of the products they manufacture and use on the environment: pollution caused by fuel combustion and noise. They are also looking for new design and technological solutions.
The article comes from the magazine “Logistyka” 2001/3.

L2001-3s58.pdf