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Development of road transport – a threat or an opportunity for Europe – part 2

The future development of road transport is determined not only by internal factors influencing the actions of entities in the transport market (manufacturers of transport vehicles, governments and local authorities responsible for creating and developing transport policy in a country or region, and transport users), but also by external factors. New challenges arise largely from the external environment in which road transport operates.

Among the social factors influencing the development of road transport by shaping the behavior of market entities, one should primarily mention the negative natural population growth and the changing age structure of society. A larger share of elderly people may mean a negative impact on the volume of demand. On the other hand, a trend of increasing mobility among the elderly is expected due to their financial independence (in conditions of increasing societal wealth) and greater activity stimulated by the growing share of modern and comfortable forms of travel. Another sociological factor expected in the coming decades is the increase in the mobility of youth and young people. The increase in mobility will be compounded by the downward trend in the number of marriages and the reduction in the number of people per household. The dilemma of an individual-oriented society versus a community-oriented society seems to be heading towards the former trend in the future (individualism rather than community). The rapid development of tourism, including international tourism, also in terms of the growth of new tourism products, is an additional factor stimulating the development of transport that can meet the requirements of various forms of tourism (for long and short distances, high travel comfort, and safety).

An analysis of political factors influencing the future development of road transport points to the need to address two extremes in terms of state economic policy, namely full liberalism and a high degree of interventionism. The direction that should be expected in the coming years is the decentralization of governance and the transfer of many powers, including those in the field of transport, from the central level to the regional level.

The article comes from the magazine “Logistyka”, No. 6/2005.

L2005-6s24.pdf